Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.332508 0.358663 0.386679 0.419054 0.455605 0.495789 0.543584
2025-01-12 0.268743 0.304304 0.345312 0.396703 0.460264 0.537519 0.640495
2025-01-19 0.228266 0.267517 0.315265 0.378893 0.463518 0.575446 0.740767
2025-01-26 0.208998 0.252244 0.307354 0.384975 0.495514 0.654464 0.916093
2025-02-02 0.198786 0.246335 0.309552 0.403365 0.546229 0.770169 1.185631
2025-02-09 0.185360 0.234220 0.301275 0.404868 0.571298 0.851682 1.430624
2025-02-16 0.171693 0.220179 0.288356 0.397051 0.579362 0.905590 1.646321
2025-02-23 0.161932 0.210589 0.280617 0.395741 0.597327 0.981287 1.948955
2025-03-02 0.152075 0.199966 0.270175 0.388492 0.603171 1.034477 2.229145
2025-03-09 0.143420 0.190409 0.260422 0.381040 0.607075 1.084426 2.535946
2025-03-16 0.135938 0.182051 0.251778 0.374368 0.611152 1.135834 2.890245
2025-03-23 0.132046 0.178806 0.250857 0.380917 0.642403 1.261244 3.639540
2025-03-30 0.124959 0.170470 0.241495 0.372035 0.641932 1.311704 4.178675
2025-04-06 0.117087 0.160570 0.229047 0.356540 0.625547 1.317075 4.539039
2025-04-13 0.110131 0.151768 0.217889 0.342497 0.610524 1.323433 4.943734
2025-04-20 0.107279 0.149287 0.217138 0.348200 0.641592 1.480980 6.687038
2025-04-27 0.106328 0.149760 0.221413 0.364218 0.700951 1.765341 10.832689
2025-05-04 0.103120 0.146347 0.218620 0.365584 0.724169 1.938357 15.335340
2025-05-11 0.098965 0.141147 0.212289 0.358885 0.724877 2.024768 19.633735
2025-05-18 0.095918 0.137635 0.208760 0.357767 0.740755 2.188672 28.942825
2025-05-25 0.092379 0.133125 0.203127 0.351523 0.741034 2.283770 39.728345
2025-06-01 0.089051 0.128828 0.197640 0.345092 0.739716 2.373253 56.093569
2025-06-08 0.086025 0.124917 0.192651 0.339326 0.739456 2.471399 84.875691